Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 16/07, 02:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Jeremy Beale
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Jeremy Beale
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
8-2 (W-L)
Jeremy Beale
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew Dellavedova
1–1
Jeremy Beale
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1624 · Jeremy Beale 1559
| Matthew Dellavedova | Jeremy Beale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1624 vs 1559).
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Jeremy Beale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-7.5 | 12.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 69% |
| Break % | 61.2% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Matthew Dellavedova 1 – 1 Jeremy Beale (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Dellavedova 1–1 Jeremy Beale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/21 M15 Monastir | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 28/03/18 ITF Australia F4 | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jeremy Zhang M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jeremy Beale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Asher Brownrigg M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Nikita Volonski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/06 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Ashton Mcleod UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Casey Ambler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Jeremy Beale?
Our model gives 69% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.