Prediction: Clara Burel vs Elsa Jacquemot
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Burel
Elsa Jacquemot
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Burel
4-6 (W-L)
Elsa Jacquemot
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Clara Burel
6–1
Elsa Jacquemot
(7 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Burel 1550 · Elsa Jacquemot 1468
| Clara Burel | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clara Burel (rating 1550 vs 1468).
- Clara Burel is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Clara Burel 6–1 Elsa Jacquemot (7).
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Clara Burel | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.7 | 10-12.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.6
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.83
H2H · Clara Burel 6 – 1 Elsa Jacquemot (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clara Burel 6–1 Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/24 WTA Saint-Malo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/12/23 WTA Angers | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/01/23 Australian Open Women | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09/22 ITF W80 Le Neubourg | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/12/21 WTA Angers | 2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/09/20 ITF W25 Marbella | 2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 14/02/20 ITF W25 Grenoble | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Burel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Jana Otzipka W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Nice |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 09/06 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Elsa Jacquemot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Mimi Xu WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Hanyu Guo WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/05 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Burel vs Elsa Jacquemot?
Our model gives 61% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.