Tennis · WTA Iasi · 18/07, 17:30
Prediction: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansek
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Badosa
Tamara Zidansek
Estimated games
22.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Badosa
9-1 (W-L)
Tamara Zidansek
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paula Badosa
0–1
Tamara Zidansek
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Badosa 1613 · Tamara Zidansek 1522
| Paula Badosa | Tamara Zidansek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Badosa (rating 1613 vs 1522).
- Paula Badosa is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Paula Badosa 0–1 Tamara Zidansek (1).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Tamara Zidansek makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Paula Badosa | Tamara Zidansek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.3 | 11.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.7
Over 19.5: 68% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 32% · 1.83
H2H · Paula Badosa 0 – 1 Tamara Zidansek (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paula Badosa 0–1 Tamara Zidansek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/21 French Open Women | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Badosa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Emiliana Arango WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Tamara Zidansek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/07 | Emiliana Arango WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Teodora Kostovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nastasja Schunk W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Zhuoxuan Bai Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Federica Urgesi WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Anna-Lena Friedsam French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansek?
Our model gives 68% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.