Prediction: Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosa
Prediction summary
Winner
Panna Udvardy
Paula Badosa
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Panna Udvardy
4-6 (W-L)
Paula Badosa
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Panna Udvardy 1495 · Paula Badosa 1603
| Panna Udvardy | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Badosa (rating 1495 vs 1603).
- Paula Badosa is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Panna Udvardy | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 100% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.2 | 12.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.4
Over 19.5: 66% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 34% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panna Udvardy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Viktorija Golubic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Paula Badosa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Emiliana Arango WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Coco Gauff WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosa?
Our model gives 69% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.