Tennis · WTA Iasi · 17/07, 11:00

Prediction: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Oleksandra Oliynykova Clara Burel
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandra Oliynykova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWWW
Clara Burel 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1540 · Clara Burel 1559
Oleksandra OliynykovaClara Burel
Our model47%53%
Market60%40%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Oleksandra OliynykovaClara Burel
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 75% (8) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.7-0.8
Games (G-P)10.1-1113.2-9.1
Aces11
Double faults3.93.5
1st serve %54.8%66.6%
Break %42.2%52.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.9
Over 21.5: 56% · 1.80 Under 21.5: 44% · 1.90

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oleksandra Oliynykova

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Elena Pridankina
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Ipek Oz
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
06/07 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Bastad · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
29/06 McCartney Kessler
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 0-12 L
20/06 Sofia Johnson
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 2-12 L
30/05 Diana Shnaider
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
28/05 Kimberly Birrell
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 13-15 W
26/05 Elena Pridankina
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
18/05 Alexandra Eala
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
17/05 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Clara Burel

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
13/07 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
09/07 Alicia Herrero Linana
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
07/07 Petra Marcinko
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 18-9 W
17/06 Despina Papamichail
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-1 3-6 L
16/06 Jana Otzipka
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-1 19-14 W
14/06 Jenny Lim
W35 Nice
2-1 15-10 W
13/06 Maria Sara Popa
W35 Nice
2-0 12-3 W
12/06 Alevtina Ibragimova
W35 Nice
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Deborah Chiesa
W35 Nice
2-1 14-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burel?

Our model gives 54% to Oleksandra Oliynykova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.