Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 16/07, 18:30
Prediction: Ilya Ivashka vs Aziz Ouakaa
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilya Ivashka
Aziz Ouakaa
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ilya Ivashka
8-2 (W-L)
Aziz Ouakaa
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilya Ivashka 1569 · Aziz Ouakaa 1603
| Ilya Ivashka | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Ilya Ivashka dominates on serve: 6 aces and 41.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Ilya Ivashka | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9 | 13.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilya Ivashka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Manish Sureshkumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/05 | Keegan Smith Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Aziz Ouakaa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Carlos Ferre Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/07 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilya Ivashka vs Aziz Ouakaa?
Our model gives 62% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.