Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 16/07, 18:30
Prediction: Dan Added vs Antoine Ghibaudo
Prediction summary
Winner
Dan Added
Antoine Ghibaudo
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Dan Added
9-1 (W-L)
Antoine Ghibaudo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1593 · Antoine Ghibaudo 1461
| Dan Added | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dan Added (rating 1593 vs 1461).
- Dan Added is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dan Added | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.6 | 10.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Hugo Car M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Antoine Ghibaudo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Lui Maxted Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/05 | James Watt Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Michael Zheng French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Tunis · Clay |
1-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Skander Nsairi Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Antoine Ghibaudo?
Our model gives 55% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.