Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 15/07, 18:30
Prediction: Yi Zhou vs Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Yi Zhou
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yi Zhou
0–1
Tiago Pereira
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yi Zhou 1543 · Tiago Pereira 1508
| Yi Zhou | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yi Zhou 0–1 Tiago Pereira (1).
Statistics
| Yi Zhou | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.2 | 11.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
H2H · Yi Zhou 0 – 1 Tiago Pereira (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yi Zhou 0–1 Tiago Pereira
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 M25 Vale do Lobo | 1-2 | 12-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yi Zhou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Guy Den Ouden Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Tiago Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Filippo Moroni M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Noa Vukadin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Alan Wazny M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yi Zhou vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 58% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.