Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 15/07, 12:30
Prediction: Brooke Black vs Oceane Dodin
Prediction summary
Winner
Brooke Black
Oceane Dodin
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Brooke Black
6-4 (W-L)
Oceane Dodin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brooke Black 1580 · Oceane Dodin 1503
| Brooke Black | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brooke Black (rating 1580 vs 1503).
- Oceane Dodin dominates on serve: 9.5 aces and 40.5% break avg.
- Note: Oceane Dodin makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Brooke Black | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9 | 10.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 9.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brooke Black
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Andre Lukosiute W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/12 | Emma Jackson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 12/12 | Mia Slama UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/12 | Heidi Bulger UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/12 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/12 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/12 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Erika Sema ITF W35 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Taylah Preston ITF W35 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Oceane Dodin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Francesca Curmi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Amy Stevens W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Lulu Sun Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Pigossi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Kayla Day French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/05 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brooke Black vs Oceane Dodin?
Our model gives 61% to Oceane Dodin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.