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Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 15/07, 11:00

Prediction: Ella Mcdonald vs Hannah Klugman

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Ella Mcdonald Hannah Klugman
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ella Mcdonald 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLLWWWW
Hannah Klugman 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ella Mcdonald 1518 · Hannah Klugman 1451
Ella McdonaldHannah Klugman
Our model60%40%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ella Mcdonald (rating 1518 vs 1451).
  • Ella Mcdonald is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Ella Mcdonald makes many double faults (6.4/match).
  • Note: Hannah Klugman makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Ella McdonaldHannah Klugman
Win %60%30%
Win % · Grass 50% (4) 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.90.8-1.4
Games (G-P)11.5-8.49.5-11.8
Aces2.25.2
Double faults6.45.9
1st serve %68%64.7%
Break %62.8%41.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ella Mcdonald

WWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Mia Wainwright
W50 Nottingham
 2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Elvina Kalieva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
 1-2 16-16 L
09/06 Lulu Sun
WTA Ilkley · Grass
 1-2 10-14 L
08/06 Ranah Akua Stoiber
WTA Ilkley · Grass
 2-0 12-6 W
07/06 Elena Pridankina
WTA Ilkley · Grass
 2-1 13-11 W
22/04 Julia Riera
W100 Charlottesville
 0-2 9-13 L
21/04 Kallista Liu
W100 Charlottesville
 2-0 12-3 W
19/03 Jazmin Ortenzi
W50 Chihuahua
 0-2 7-13 L
18/03 Ana Sofia Sanchez
W50 Chihuahua
 2-0 12-5 W
17/03 Fernanda Antonella Marin Gonzalez
W50 Chihuahua
 2-0 12-0 W

Hannah Klugman

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Sayaka Ishii
W50 Nottingham
 2-0 13-7 W
29/06 Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
 0-2 5-12 L
22/06 Tereza Valentova
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
 1-2 17-19 L
18/06 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Nottingham · Grass
 0-2 7-13 L
16/06 Harriet Dart
WTA Nottingham · Grass
 2-0 12-6 W
14/06 Zeynep Sonmez
WTA Nottingham · Grass
 0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Nottingham · Grass
 2-0 13-8 W
07/06 Shuai Zhang
WTA Queens · Grass
 1-2 12-16 L
30/05 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Birmingham · Grass
 0-2 3-12 L
15/05 Bella Payne
W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay
 0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ella Mcdonald vs Hannah Klugman?

Our model gives 56% to Hannah Klugman, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.