Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 15/07, 18:30
Prediction: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Yanki Erel
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Yanki Erel
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
4-6 (W-L)
Yanki Erel
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1500 · Yanki Erel 1613
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanki Erel (rating 1500 vs 1613).
- Yanki Erel is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10 | 12.7-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Orlando Luz Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Andrea Baudel Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Gianluca Carlini M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Noah Regas M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 30/05 | Vadym Ursu M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Maksim Shin M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Yanki Erel?
Our model gives 59% to Yanki Erel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.