Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Palan
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Palan
6-4 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Palan 1506 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1594
| Dominik Palan | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1506 vs 1594).
- Izan Almazan Valiente is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Dominik Palan | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.6 | 11.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Adam Martin Espinar Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | David Poljak Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/06 | John Sperle Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Alastair Gray Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Keegan Smith Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Alejandro Juan Mano M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 68% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.