Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 15/07, 20:00

Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawford

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Ivan Ivanov Oliver Crawford
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Ivanov 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWLW
Oliver Crawford 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1541 · Oliver Crawford 1537
Ivan IvanovOliver Crawford
Our model51%49%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ivan IvanovOliver Crawford
Win %60%70%
Win % · Grass 57% (7) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.5-1
Games (G-P)11.1-1112.6-10.4
Aces4.62.8
Double faults1.62.7
1st serve %69.4%69.3%
Break %36.1%45.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivan Ivanov

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-1 16-17 W
10/07 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Lui Maxted
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Niels Visker
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
06/07 Dinko Dinev
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-1 16-8 W
05/07 Conor Gannon
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Zsombor Piros
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
26/05 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Kosice · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
25/05 Alafia Ayeni
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Oliver Crawford

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Pablo Perez Navarro
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Yanki Erel
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 2-12 L
10/07 Dan Added
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-7 W
09/07 Robin Bertrand
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 16-10 W
08/07 Mae Malige
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Rigele Te
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 16-14 W
22/06 Jurij Rodionov
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
17/06 Alexis Galarneau
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 12-14 L
16/06 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-1 18-14 W
15/06 Niels Visker
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-1 18-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawford?

Our model gives 54% to Oliver Crawford, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.