Prediction: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa
Prediction summary
Winner
Alevtina Ibragimova
Paula Badosa
Estimated games
20.7Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alevtina Ibragimova
7-3 (W-L)
Paula Badosa
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alevtina Ibragimova 1597 · Paula Badosa 1602
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 15% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.7 | 11.9-8.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 61.6% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.2
Over 18.5: 65% · 2.00
Under 18.5: 35% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alevtina Ibragimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Amandine Hesse W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Nice |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Paula Badosa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Emiliana Arango WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Coco Gauff WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa?
Our model gives 70% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.