Prediction: Yulia Putintseva vs Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Putintseva
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Putintseva
4-6 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Putintseva 1536 · Alina Charaeva 1578
| Yulia Putintseva | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Charaeva (rating 1536 vs 1578).
- Alina Charaeva dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 60.4% break avg.
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Yulia Putintseva | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.7 | 13.6-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 72% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 60.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Putintseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Claire Liu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Martha Matoula WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/05 | Talia Gibson French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Manon Leonard WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/06 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Putintseva vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 53% to Yulia Putintseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.