Tennis · W15 Astana · 15/07, 08:00
Prediction: Sofiia Suslova vs Rinko Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofiia Suslova
Rinko Matsuda
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sofiia Suslova
5-5 (W-L)
Rinko Matsuda
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofiia Suslova 1471 · Rinko Matsuda 1514
| Sofiia Suslova | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rinko Matsuda (rating 1471 vs 1514).
- Note: Sofiia Suslova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Sofiia Suslova | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.8 | 9.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 54.6% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofiia Suslova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Chevika Reddy Sama W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Albina Kakenova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Marie Villet W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/03 | Evgeniya Burdina W35 Kalaburagi |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Kalaburagi |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/02 | Polina Kuharenko W15 Gurugram |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Sahira Singh W15 Gurugram |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya ITF W15 Tashkent |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Albina Kakenova ITF W15 Tashkent |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 19/10 | Keira Kim ITF W15 Tashkent |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Rinko Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Hanna Chang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Ekaterina Maklakova W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 30/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Eunchae Kim W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Fang An Lin W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Tsuki Shibutani W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofiia Suslova vs Rinko Matsuda?
Our model gives 74% to Rinko Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.