Tennis · W15 Astana · 15/07, 09:30
Prediction: Kira Bataikina vs Maria Sholokhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kira Bataikina
Maria Sholokhova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kira Bataikina
3-7 (W-L)
Maria Sholokhova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kira Bataikina 1451 · Maria Sholokhova 1523
| Kira Bataikina | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sholokhova (rating 1451 vs 1523).
- Maria Sholokhova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Kira Bataikina makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Kira Bataikina | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-10 | 12.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 7.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kira Bataikina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Anastasiya Krymkova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Kristina Belkova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 26/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Kiara Nina Kucikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 09/04 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Doga Turkmen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 01/04 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Maria Sholokhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Piper Charney W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Anna Rogers W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Victoria Hu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Ana Grubor W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Basant Kaur W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kira Bataikina vs Maria Sholokhova?
Our model gives 77% to Maria Sholokhova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.