Prediction: Mayar Sherif vs Kaitlin Quevedo
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayar Sherif
Kaitlin Quevedo
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mayar Sherif
8-2 (W-L)
Kaitlin Quevedo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayar Sherif 1645 · Kaitlin Quevedo 1554
| Mayar Sherif | Kaitlin Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1645 vs 1554).
Statistics
| Mayar Sherif | Kaitlin Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.8 | 11.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.6
Over 20.5: 54% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 46% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayar Sherif
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Amandine Hesse WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kaitlin Quevedo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/07 | Tiana Tian Deng WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Sayaka Ishii Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayar Sherif vs Kaitlin Quevedo?
Our model gives 63% to Mayar Sherif, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.