Prediction: Elina Avanesyan vs Petra Marcinko
Prediction summary
Winner
Elina Avanesyan
Petra Marcinko
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elina Avanesyan
8-2 (W-L)
Petra Marcinko
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Avanesyan 1615 · Petra Marcinko 1518
| Elina Avanesyan | Petra Marcinko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elina Avanesyan (rating 1615 vs 1518).
- Elina Avanesyan is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Petra Marcinko makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Elina Avanesyan | Petra Marcinko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-5.1 | 13.3-12.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 8.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Avanesyan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Irina Fetecau WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Emily Seibold WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elena Malygina Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Enki Hyseni Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Michelle Dzjachangirova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Petra Marcinko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Clara Burel WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 21/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Simona Waltert WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Aoi Ito WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Avanesyan vs Petra Marcinko?
Our model gives 53% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.