Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Wihan Van Der Merwe vs Colin Sinclair
Prediction summary
Winner
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Colin Sinclair
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Wihan Van Der Merwe
7-3 (W-L)
Colin Sinclair
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wihan Van Der Merwe 1552 · Colin Sinclair 1481
| Wihan Van Der Merwe | Colin Sinclair | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wihan Van Der Merwe (rating 1552 vs 1481).
- Wihan Van Der Merwe is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Wihan Van Der Merwe | Colin Sinclair | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.8 | 13.2-13.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 49% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Hudson Baxter M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/05 | Hugo Castello UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/05 | Arjun Balakrishnan UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 10/06 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Matt Kleiman M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Evan Zhu M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 05/05 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 30/04 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Pawit Sornlaksup M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wihan Van Der Merwe vs Colin Sinclair?
Our model gives 66% to Colin Sinclair, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.