Tennis · W75 Granby · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Erika Sema vs Avery Alexander
Prediction summary
Winner
Erika Sema
Avery Alexander
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Erika Sema
5-5 (W-L)
Avery Alexander
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Erika Sema 1474 · Avery Alexander 1529
| Erika Sema | Avery Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avery Alexander (rating 1474 vs 1529).
- Note: Erika Sema makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Erika Sema | Avery Alexander | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.9 | 10.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erika Sema
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Naomi Xu W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Sara Saito W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Eunhye Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Evialina Laskevich W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Mei Yamaguchi W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Ke Ren W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Meng Yi Chen W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Ena Koike W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Hikaru Sato W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Avery Alexander
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Scarlett Nicholson W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/03 | Catherine Rennard W15 Victoriaville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/03 | Jada Robinson W15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Rachael Smith ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Emma Kamper ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Nadia Lagaev ITF W35 Quebec City |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Isabella Marton ITF W35 Quebec City |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Sarah Barry ITF W35 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erika Sema vs Avery Alexander?
Our model gives 57% to Erika Sema, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.