Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Chris Rodesch vs Paul Inchauspe
Prediction summary
Winner
Chris Rodesch
Paul Inchauspe
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Chris Rodesch
3-7 (W-L)
Paul Inchauspe
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chris Rodesch 1474 · Paul Inchauspe 1589
| Chris Rodesch | Paul Inchauspe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Inchauspe (rating 1474 vs 1589).
- Paul Inchauspe is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Chris Rodesch | Paul Inchauspe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.6 | 12.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chris Rodesch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Florent Bax Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Jan Choinski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 14/05 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Paul Inchauspe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Lucas Poullain M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chris Rodesch vs Paul Inchauspe?
Our model gives 53% to Chris Rodesch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.