Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mathilde Ngijol Carre vs Kristina Kovgan
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Kristina Kovgan
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
4-6 (W-L)
Kristina Kovgan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathilde Ngijol Carre 1468 · Kristina Kovgan 1475
| Mathilde Ngijol Carre | Kristina Kovgan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathilde Ngijol Carre makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Kristina Kovgan makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Mathilde Ngijol Carre | Kristina Kovgan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.7 | 9.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 8.8 |
| 1st serve % | 54.4% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 33.1% | 58.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Seda Baslilar W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/02 | Julieta Pareja W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Klara Kosan W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/12 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/12 | Nahjime Dho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/12 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Ava Williamson W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Mia Kupres ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Ena Koike ITF W100 Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Rhiann Newborn ITF W100 Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Kristina Kovgan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Masa Viriant W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Helena Muzinic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Doroteja Petrovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathilde Ngijol Carre vs Kristina Kovgan?
Our model gives 56% to Mathilde Ngijol Carre, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.