Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 14/07, 18:30
Prediction: Aziz Ouakaa vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Aziz Ouakaa
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Aziz Ouakaa
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Pablo Ficovich
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aziz Ouakaa 1578 · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1399
| Aziz Ouakaa | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aziz Ouakaa (rating 1578 vs 1399).
- Juan Pablo Ficovich dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Aziz Ouakaa is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aziz Ouakaa | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.9-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.5 | 13.1-15.6 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aziz Ouakaa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Carlos Ferre Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/07 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Thijmen Loof ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Stefano Travaglia French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 13/05 | Jan Choinski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 04/05 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/04 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aziz Ouakaa vs Juan Pablo Ficovich?
Our model gives 53% to Aziz Ouakaa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.