Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 14/07, 11:00
Prediction: Brooke Black vs Andre Lukosiute
Prediction summary
Winner
Brooke Black
Andre Lukosiute
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Brooke Black
6-4 (W-L)
Andre Lukosiute
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brooke Black 1577 · Andre Lukosiute 1584
| Brooke Black | Andre Lukosiute | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andre Lukosiute makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Brooke Black | Andre Lukosiute | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9 | 11.7-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brooke Black
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/12 | Emma Jackson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 12/12 | Mia Slama UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/12 | Heidi Bulger UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/12 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/12 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/12 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Erika Sema ITF W35 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Taylah Preston ITF W35 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Laquisa Khan ITF W35 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Andre Lukosiute
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Milana Ivantsiv W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Berta Passola W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Lamiss Houas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/05 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/05 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/05 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brooke Black vs Andre Lukosiute?
Our model gives 59% to Andre Lukosiute, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.