Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 14/07, 12:30
Prediction: Ella Mcdonald vs Mia Wainwright
Prediction summary
Winner
Ella Mcdonald
Mia Wainwright
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ella Mcdonald
6-4 (W-L)
Mia Wainwright
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ella Mcdonald 1502 · Mia Wainwright 1476
| Ella Mcdonald | Mia Wainwright | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ella Mcdonald makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Ella Mcdonald | Mia Wainwright | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.7 | 7.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 59.5% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ella Mcdonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Elvina Kalieva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Lulu Sun WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Ranah Akua Stoiber WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Elena Pridankina WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/04 | Julia Riera W100 Charlottesville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Kallista Liu W100 Charlottesville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/03 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/03 | Fernanda Antonella Marin Gonzalez W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/02 | Julieta Pareja W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
Mia Wainwright
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Marelie Raath W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Eloise Newberry W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Luciana Moyano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Eliz Maloney W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Eloise Newberry W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/04 | Pui Yin Lung W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ella Mcdonald vs Mia Wainwright?
Our model gives 74% to Ella Mcdonald, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.