Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 14/07, 11:00
Prediction: Esther Adeshina vs Urszula Radwanska
Prediction summary
Winner
Esther Adeshina
Urszula Radwanska
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Esther Adeshina
5-5 (W-L)
Urszula Radwanska
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esther Adeshina 1510 · Urszula Radwanska 1433
| Esther Adeshina | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esther Adeshina (rating 1510 vs 1433).
- Esther Adeshina is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Esther Adeshina makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Urszula Radwanska makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Esther Adeshina | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.2 | 10.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esther Adeshina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Daniela Darta Feldmane W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Moyuka Uchijima Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Carla Tomai W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Malene Helgo W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Aya El Sayed W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Urszula Radwanska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Petra Sedlackova W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Freya Peet W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/04 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/03 | Katerina Tsygourova W50 Helsinki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Annina Kanerva W50 Helsinki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/02 | Jenny Lim W50 Macon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/02 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W50 Grenoble · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esther Adeshina vs Urszula Radwanska?
Our model gives 55% to Esther Adeshina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.