Prediction: Yulia Putintseva vs Claire Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Putintseva
Claire Liu
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Putintseva
4-6 (W-L)
Claire Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yulia Putintseva
2–1
Claire Liu
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Putintseva 1515 · Claire Liu 1560
| Yulia Putintseva | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Claire Liu (rating 1515 vs 1560).
- Head-to-head: Yulia Putintseva 2–1 Claire Liu (3).
Statistics
| Yulia Putintseva | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.7 | 11.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.3
Over 22.5: 41% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 59% · 1.80
H2H · Yulia Putintseva 2 – 1 Claire Liu (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yulia Putintseva 2–1 Claire Liu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/23 WTA Budapest | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/04/23 WTA Madrid | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/01/23 WTA Hobart | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Martha Matoula WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/05 | Talia Gibson French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Claire Liu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Ipek Oz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Despina Papamichail Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Putintseva vs Claire Liu?
Our model gives 52% to Yulia Putintseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.