Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 14/07, 03:30
Prediction: Asher Brownrigg vs Jeremy Beale
Prediction summary
Winner
Asher Brownrigg
Jeremy Beale
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Asher Brownrigg
4-6 (W-L)
Jeremy Beale
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asher Brownrigg 1444 · Jeremy Beale 1585
| Asher Brownrigg | Jeremy Beale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeremy Beale (rating 1444 vs 1585).
- Jeremy Beale is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Asher Brownrigg | Jeremy Beale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.5 | 12.6-9.5 |
| Aces | – | 2.3 |
| Double faults | – | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | – | 69.9% |
| Break % | – | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asher Brownrigg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Sam Wensley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Evan Vasiliadis UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Jeremy Beale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Nikita Volonski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/06 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Ashton Mcleod UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Casey Ambler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Luka Vujacic UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asher Brownrigg vs Jeremy Beale?
Our model gives 80% to Jeremy Beale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.