Tennis · W15 Astana · 14/07, 08:00
Prediction: Maria Mikhailova vs Daria Belyaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Mikhailova
Daria Belyaeva
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Mikhailova
4-6 (W-L)
Daria Belyaeva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Mikhailova 1460 · Daria Belyaeva 1469
| Maria Mikhailova | Daria Belyaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Mikhailova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Maria Mikhailova | Daria Belyaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.5 | 10.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 51.7% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Mikhailova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Federica Sacco W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Leonie Rabl W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Warda Ait El Bachir W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lorena Solar Donoso W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Darya Kharlanova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Kira Bataikina W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Madhurima Sawant W35 Tumkur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Madhurima Sawant W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Daria Belyaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Julia Khramtsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Angelina Wirges W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Angelina Wirges W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Danielle Dai Chapman W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/04 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/03 | Valeria Savinykh W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/03 | Ho Ching Wu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Mikhailova vs Daria Belyaeva?
Our model gives 67% to Daria Belyaeva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.