Prediction: Dominika Salkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominika Salkova
Alevtina Ibragimova
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dominika Salkova
5-5 (W-L)
Alevtina Ibragimova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominika Salkova 1477 · Alevtina Ibragimova 1581
| Dominika Salkova | Alevtina Ibragimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alevtina Ibragimova (rating 1477 vs 1581).
- Dominika Salkova dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Alevtina Ibragimova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Dominika Salkova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Alevtina Ibragimova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Dominika Salkova | Alevtina Ibragimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.7 | 11.7-7.9 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.2
Over 20.5: 59% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 41% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominika Salkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Caroline Werner WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Alice Tubello WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Ana Konjuh WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/05 | Veronika Podrez French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Alevtina Ibragimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Amandine Hesse W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Nice |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Berta Bonardi W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominika Salkova vs Alevtina Ibragimova?
Our model gives 53% to Alevtina Ibragimova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.