Prediction: Elina Avanesyan vs Moyuka Uchijima
Prediction summary
Winner
Elina Avanesyan
Moyuka Uchijima
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elina Avanesyan
8-2 (W-L)
Moyuka Uchijima
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elina Avanesyan
2–0
Moyuka Uchijima
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Avanesyan 1607 · Moyuka Uchijima 1498
| Elina Avanesyan | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elina Avanesyan (rating 1607 vs 1498).
- Elina Avanesyan is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Elina Avanesyan 2–0 Moyuka Uchijima (2).
Statistics
| Elina Avanesyan | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-5.9 | 12.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.2
Over 20.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 35% · 1.83
H2H · Elina Avanesyan 2 – 0 Moyuka Uchijima (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elina Avanesyan 2–0 Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 WTA Ostrava | 2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08/22 US Open Women | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Avanesyan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Irina Fetecau WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Emily Seibold WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elena Malygina Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Enki Hyseni Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Michelle Dzjachangirova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Lea Boskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Alycia Parks WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kaja Juvan WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 02/05 | Jessika Ponchet WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/05 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Avanesyan vs Moyuka Uchijima?
Our model gives 60% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.