Prediction: Ilinca D Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilinca D Amariei
Elsa Jacquemot
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ilinca D Amariei
3-7 (W-L)
Elsa Jacquemot
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilinca D Amariei 1493 · Elsa Jacquemot 1437
| Ilinca D Amariei | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilinca D Amariei (rating 1493 vs 1437).
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Ilinca D Amariei | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.4 | 9.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 0 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.3
Over 18.5: 72% · 1.80
Under 18.5: 28% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilinca D Amariei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Caroline Werner WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Melis Rasim W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/12 | Rikke De Koning W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 12/12 | Aran Teixido Garcia W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/12 | Anna Snigireva W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Mimi Xu WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Hanyu Guo WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/05 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilinca D Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot?
Our model gives 64% to Elsa Jacquemot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.