Prediction: Miriam Bulgaru vs Elena Pridankina
Prediction summary
Winner
Miriam Bulgaru
Elena Pridankina
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miriam Bulgaru
3-7 (W-L)
Elena Pridankina
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miriam Bulgaru 1428 · Elena Pridankina 1562
| Miriam Bulgaru | Elena Pridankina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Pridankina (rating 1428 vs 1562).
- Elena Pridankina dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 63.5% break avg.
- Elena Pridankina is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Miriam Bulgaru makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Miriam Bulgaru | Elena Pridankina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-11.5 | 11.9-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.4
Over 18.5: 66% · 1.80
Under 18.5: 34% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miriam Bulgaru
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Danka Kovinic WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Hanyu Guo French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Harmony Tan W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Elena Pridankina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Eva Maria Ionescu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Suzan Lamens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alice Tubello Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Ella Mcdonald WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Himeno Sakatsume French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Julia Avdeeva French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miriam Bulgaru vs Elena Pridankina?
Our model gives 74% to Elena Pridankina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.