Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 14/07, 03:30
Prediction: Wihan Van Der Merwe vs Hudson Baxter
Prediction summary
Winner
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Hudson Baxter
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Wihan Van Der Merwe
7-3 (W-L)
Hudson Baxter
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wihan Van Der Merwe 1535 · Hudson Baxter 1425
| Wihan Van Der Merwe | Hudson Baxter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wihan Van Der Merwe (rating 1535 vs 1425).
- Wihan Van Der Merwe is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Wihan Van Der Merwe | Hudson Baxter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.1 | 7.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Hugo Castello UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/05 | Arjun Balakrishnan UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Hudson Baxter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Milledge Cossu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/04 | Henrique Bork M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/03 | Marcel Kamrowski M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 06/01 | Ruben Lebron Puerta M15 Manacor |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/11 | David Eichenseher M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Ahmed Zaki M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Nicolas Philibert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Bogdan Seleznev M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wihan Van Der Merwe vs Hudson Baxter?
Our model gives 66% to Wihan Van Der Merwe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.