Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 15/07, 02:00

Prediction: Duje Markovina vs Jake Delaney

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Duje Markovina Jake Delaney
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Duje Markovina 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLWL
Jake Delaney 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Duje Markovina 1497 · Jake Delaney 1590
Duje MarkovinaJake Delaney
Our model37%63%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Delaney (rating 1497 vs 1590).
  • Jake Delaney is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Duje MarkovinaJake Delaney
Win %50%80%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.6-0.6
Games (G-P)10.1-10.812.1-10
Aces48
Double faults3.42
1st serve %67.3%76.2%
Break %43%27.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Duje Markovina

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/06 Jan Kumstat
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
10/06 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
04/06 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-1 11-13 L
03/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
02/06 Enrique Bogo
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W
29/05 Duje Ajdukovic
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/05 Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/05 Iannis Miletich
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
21/05 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Jake Delaney

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Max Purcell
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/06 Masamichi Imamura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/06 Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
19/06 Max Purcell
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
18/06 Yusuke Kusuhara
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
16/06 Hyu Kawanishi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/06 Alan Magadan
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/06 Riku Takahata
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
10/06 Tai Leonard Sach
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 18-17 W
07/06 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Duje Markovina vs Jake Delaney?

Our model gives 72% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.