Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Benjamin O'Connell vs Chen Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin O'Connell
Chen Dong
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin O'Connell
5-5 (W-L)
Chen Dong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin O'Connell 1502 · Chen Dong 1457
| Benjamin O'Connell | Chen Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin O'Connell (rating 1502 vs 1457).
Statistics
| Benjamin O'Connell | Chen Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.3 | 7.9-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Noah Zamora M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Noah Zamora M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 12/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matic Kriznik M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | William Kleege M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Chen Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Sergey Petrov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Remy Dugardin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 26/12 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 25/12 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/12 | Florent Bax M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 20/12 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/12 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/12 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin O'Connell vs Chen Dong?
Our model gives 52% to Chen Dong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.