Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Shinji Hazawa vs Lachlan Mcfadzean
Prediction summary
Winner
Shinji Hazawa
Lachlan Mcfadzean
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Shinji Hazawa
2-8 (W-L)
Lachlan Mcfadzean
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shinji Hazawa 1432 · Lachlan Mcfadzean 1492
| Shinji Hazawa | Lachlan Mcfadzean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lachlan Mcfadzean (rating 1432 vs 1492).
Statistics
| Shinji Hazawa | Lachlan Mcfadzean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.2 | 11.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinji Hazawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Yunseok Jang M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Wonmin Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lachlan Mcfadzean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Shintaro Imai M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Xiaofei Wang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/04 | Ryotaro Taguchi M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Perawat Sukjai M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinji Hazawa vs Lachlan Mcfadzean?
Our model gives 54% to Lachlan Mcfadzean, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.