Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Jeremy Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Jeremy Zhang
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
7-3 (W-L)
Jeremy Zhang
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1619 · Jeremy Zhang 1552
| Matthew Dellavedova | Jeremy Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1619 vs 1552).
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Jeremy Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.1 | 12-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 0.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Jeremy Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Aidan Mchugh Challenger Champaign · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/11 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | Enzo Wallart Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Erik Arutiunian ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Poonthong Komopisut ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Cameron Muller ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Sasha Colleu UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Adam Jilly UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Eli Dieveney UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Eldin Nokic UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Jeremy Zhang?
Our model gives 75% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.