Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 14/07, 02:00
Prediction: Matt Hulme vs Sam Wensley
Prediction summary
Winner
Matt Hulme
Sam Wensley
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Matt Hulme
3-7 (W-L)
Sam Wensley
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matt Hulme 1453 · Sam Wensley 1510
| Matt Hulme | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sam Wensley (rating 1453 vs 1510).
- Sam Wensley is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sam Wensley makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Matt Hulme | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.5 | 9.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 53.7% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 69% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matt Hulme
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Vitorio Sardinha UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Oliver King UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Jonty Giesen UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Sam Wensley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 14/05 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Emmanuel Valsamis UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Marcus Nield UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/01 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matt Hulme vs Sam Wensley?
Our model gives 68% to Matt Hulme, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.