Tennis · W15 Astana · 14/07, 09:30
Prediction: Sera Nishimoto vs Kristina Kroitor
Prediction summary
Winner
Sera Nishimoto
Kristina Kroitor
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sera Nishimoto
3-7 (W-L)
Kristina Kroitor
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sera Nishimoto 1491 · Kristina Kroitor 1605
| Sera Nishimoto | Kristina Kroitor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Kroitor (rating 1491 vs 1605).
- Kristina Kroitor is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Sera Nishimoto makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sera Nishimoto | Kristina Kroitor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 100% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.1 | 11.5-6.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sera Nishimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Yujin Kim W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Arina Varaksina W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Onyu Choi W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Ji Min Park W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Kisa Yoshioka W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kristina Kroitor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Anna Bazderova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 30/05 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Alisa Danilova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/05 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/05 | Ani Amiraghyan W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sera Nishimoto vs Kristina Kroitor?
Our model gives 79% to Kristina Kroitor, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.