Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 14/07, 06:30
Prediction: Kotaro Mochizuki vs Taiyo Uenoyama
Prediction summary
Winner
Kotaro Mochizuki
Taiyo Uenoyama
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kotaro Mochizuki
3-7 (W-L)
Taiyo Uenoyama
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kotaro Mochizuki
2–0
Taiyo Uenoyama
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kotaro Mochizuki 1459 · Taiyo Uenoyama 1549
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Taiyo Uenoyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taiyo Uenoyama (rating 1459 vs 1549).
- Taiyo Uenoyama is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kotaro Mochizuki 2–0 Taiyo Uenoyama (2).
Statistics
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Taiyo Uenoyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-10.8 | 10.9-8.7 |
| Aces | – | 1.2 |
| Double faults | – | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | – | 61.1% |
| Break % | – | 61.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Kotaro Mochizuki 2 – 0 Taiyo Uenoyama (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kotaro Mochizuki 2–0 Taiyo Uenoyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/03/25 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Kristijan Janev UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Filippo Alberti UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Aleksa Pisaric UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Charlie Swaine UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Asaf Friedler UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Stephanos Schinas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Georgios Nouchakis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Andreas Messis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nikolaos Koutroubis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Taiyo Uenoyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/01 | Ryusuke Horiuchi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/01 | Yuta Tomida UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/01 | Graham Maassen UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/01 | Oleg Kolninov UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/01 | Noritaka Koizumi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/01 | Daiki Yoshimura UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/01 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/01 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/01 | Kosuke Morita UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kotaro Mochizuki vs Taiyo Uenoyama?
Our model gives 56% to Taiyo Uenoyama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.