Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Yi Zhou vs Stefan Kozlov
Prediction summary
Winner
Yi Zhou
Stefan Kozlov
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Stefan Kozlov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yi Zhou 1550 · Stefan Kozlov 1533
| Yi Zhou | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yi Zhou dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 49.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Yi Zhou | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.8 | 12.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Guy Den Ouden Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Stefan Kozlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Mario Mansilla Diez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Nick Hardt Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yi Zhou vs Stefan Kozlov?
Our model gives 56% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.