Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 13/07, 22:00
Prediction: Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Chris Rodesch
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Chris Rodesch
2-8 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Chris Rodesch
1–0
Mert Alkaya
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chris Rodesch 1450 · Mert Alkaya 1494
| Chris Rodesch | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mert Alkaya (rating 1450 vs 1494).
- Head-to-head: Chris Rodesch 1–0 Mert Alkaya (1).
Statistics
| Chris Rodesch | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.2 | 11.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 28.6% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Chris Rodesch 1 – 0 Mert Alkaya (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chris Rodesch 1–0 Mert Alkaya
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/24 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chris Rodesch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Florent Bax Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Jan Choinski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 14/05 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Mert Alkaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Robin Catry M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Michalis Sakellaridis ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Arda Azkara Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 61% to Chris Rodesch, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.