Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Miguel Tobon
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Pereira
Miguel Tobon
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira
7-3 (W-L)
Miguel Tobon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1497 · Miguel Tobon 1467
| Tiago Pereira | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Miguel Tobon makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.8 | 11.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Filippo Moroni M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Noa Vukadin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Alan Wazny M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Petar Jovanovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Miguel Tobon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/05 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Andrea Collarini Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/05 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Miguel Tobon?
Our model gives 52% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.