Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 13/07, 21:30
Prediction: Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewart
Prediction summary
Winner
Paul Inchauspe
Hamish Stewart
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Paul Inchauspe
7-3 (W-L)
Hamish Stewart
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Inchauspe 1585 · Hamish Stewart 1491
| Paul Inchauspe | Hamish Stewart | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Inchauspe (rating 1585 vs 1491).
- Paul Inchauspe dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 43.4% break avg.
- Hamish Stewart dominates on serve: 8.7 aces and 41.3% break avg.
- Paul Inchauspe is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Paul Inchauspe | Hamish Stewart | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-9.2 | 12.9-12.9 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Inchauspe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Lucas Poullain M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Hamish Stewart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Emilio Nava ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Leandro Riedi Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewart?
Our model gives 55% to Paul Inchauspe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.