Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 13/07, 20:00

Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Cyril Vandermeersch

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Hugo Grenier Cyril Vandermeersch
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLW
Cyril Vandermeersch 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1396 · Cyril Vandermeersch 1553
Hugo GrenierCyril Vandermeersch
Our model29%71%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cyril Vandermeersch (rating 1396 vs 1553).
  • Cyril Vandermeersch is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Hugo GrenierCyril Vandermeersch
Win %10%70%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 78% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.3-1.91.4-0.8
Games (G-P)7.9-12.211.5-8.9
Aces6.31.8
Double faults3.61.9
1st serve %62.7%65.4%
Break %28.6%51.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hugo Grenier

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Matthias Uwe Kask
M25 Roda de Bara
1-2 11-12 L
02/07 Paul Inchauspe
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Tristan Berard
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
22/06 Jaime Faria
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Oliver Okonkwo
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 11-14 L
08/06 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/05 Luca Nardi
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/05 Lloyd Harris
French Open · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/05 Pierre Delage
Challenger Bordeaux · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/02 Dominic Stephan Stricker
Challenger Lugano · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Cyril Vandermeersch

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Aren Baybars
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 10-13 L
21/05 Kevin Edengren
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/05 Patrick Brady
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
20/05 Samuel De Felipe Garcia
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-1 18-17 W
18/05 Semen Pankin
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
17/05 Sergey Fomin
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/05 John Echeverria
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/05 Evgeny Karlovskiy
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
13/05 Ori Hillel
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
23/04 Karl Friberg
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Cyril Vandermeersch?

Our model gives 52% to Cyril Vandermeersch, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.