Tennis · W75 Granby · 13/07, 19:00
Prediction: Nadia Lagaev vs Isabella Marton
Prediction summary
Winner
Nadia Lagaev
Isabella Marton
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nadia Lagaev
5-5 (W-L)
Isabella Marton
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nadia Lagaev
1–0
Isabella Marton
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nadia Lagaev 1501 · Isabella Marton 1507
| Nadia Lagaev | Isabella Marton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nadia Lagaev 1–0 Isabella Marton (1).
Statistics
| Nadia Lagaev | Isabella Marton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-9.2 | 10.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 0.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 51.3% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Nadia Lagaev 1 – 0 Isabella Marton (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nadia Lagaev 1–0 Isabella Marton
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/23 ITF W25 Fredericton | 2-1 | 24-22 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nadia Lagaev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04 | Elizabeth Coleman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Esther Adeshina W15 Victoriaville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Andrea Cabio W15 Victoriaville |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 06/03 | Thara Gowda W15 Trois-Rivieres |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/03 | Iulia Bucea W15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/03 | Esther Adeshina W15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/02 | Julieta Pareja W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/02 | Kristina Liutova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Yilin Chen W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Isabella Marton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Josie Usereau W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Hephzibah Oluwadare W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefania Rogozinska-Dzik W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Rachel Gailis W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Maria Aytoyan W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nadia Lagaev vs Isabella Marton?
Our model gives 61% to Nadia Lagaev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.