Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 15/07, 05:00
Prediction: Penn Charusorn vs Shion Itsusaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Penn Charusorn
Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Penn Charusorn
6-4 (W-L)
Shion Itsusaki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Penn Charusorn 1463 · Shion Itsusaki 1493
| Penn Charusorn | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Penn Charusorn makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Penn Charusorn | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.3 | 10.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penn Charusorn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 13/05 | Tanakorn Srirat M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Bill Chan ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Elias Julian Werner ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Natthayut Nithithananont ITF M15 Hua Hin Qual |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Louis Larue ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Elias Julian Werner ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
1-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 19/10 | Poonyachad Sunthonpagasit ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/09 | Suk Hyun Choo M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Shion Itsusaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Quinn Snyder UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Riku Nakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/06 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penn Charusorn vs Shion Itsusaki?
Our model gives 62% to Shion Itsusaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.