Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 14/07, 05:00
Prediction: Jonathan Irwanto vs Shion Itsusaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Jonathan Irwanto
Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jonathan Irwanto
3-7 (W-L)
Shion Itsusaki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jonathan Irwanto 1413 · Shion Itsusaki 1491
| Jonathan Irwanto | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shion Itsusaki (rating 1413 vs 1491).
- Shion Itsusaki is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Jonathan Irwanto makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Jonathan Irwanto | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.9 | 10.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonathan Irwanto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Penn Charusorn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Hardy Owen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Connor Church UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Max K Fardanesh UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Patricio Alvarado UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Shion Itsusaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Quinn Snyder UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Riku Nakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/06 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jonathan Irwanto vs Shion Itsusaki?
Our model gives 58% to Shion Itsusaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.